新冠疫情如何改变世界:统计视角第3卷

时间:2022-06-30 13:12:02 来源:网友投稿

  Contributing

 organisations

 Asian

 Development

 Bank

 (ADB) African

 Development

 Bank

 (AfDB)

 Bank

 for

 International

 Settlements

 (BIS) Eur opean

 Central

 Bank

 (ECB)

 Eur ostat

 Food

 and

 Agricultur e

 Organization

 of

 the

 United

 Nations

 (F AO) International

 Civil

 Aviation

 Organization

 (ICAO)

 International

 Labour

 Organization

 (ILO) International

 Organization

 for

 Migration

 (IOM)

 Interstate

 Statistical

 Committee

 of

 the

 Commonwealth

 of

 Independent

 States

 (CISST A T) Office

 of

 the

 United

 Nations

 High

 Commissioner

 for

 Human

 Rights

 (OHCHR) Organisation

 for

 Economic

 Co-operation

 and

 Development

 (OECD)

 Partnership

 in

 Statistics

 for

 Development

 in

 the

 21st

 Century

 (P ARIS21) The

 Statistical

 Center

 of

 the

 Gulf

 Cooperation

 Council

 (GCC-STA T) United

 Nations

 Childr en’ s

 Fund

 (UNICEF)

 United

 Nations

 Conference

 on

 T rade

 and

 Development

 (UNCT AD) United

 Nations

 Department

 of

 Economic

 and

 Social

 Af fairs

 (UN

 DESA) United

 Nations

 Development

 Pr ogramme

 (UNDP)

 United

 Nations

 Economic

 and

 Social

 Commission

 for

 Asia

 and

 the

 Pacific

 (UN

 ESCAP) United

 Nations

 Economic

 Commission

 for

 Africa

 (UNECA)

 United

 Nations

 Economic

 Commission

 for

 Latin

 America

 and

 the

 Caribbean

 (ECLAC) United

 Nations

 Educational,

 Scientific

 and

 Cultural

 Organization

 (UNESCO)

 United

 Nations

 Entity

 for

 Gender

 Equality

 and

 the

 Empowerment

 of

 W omen

 (UN

 W omen) United

 Nations

 Envir onment

 Pr ogramme

 (UNEP)

 United

 Nations

 High

 Commissioner

 for

 Refugees

 (UNHCR) United

 Nations

 Human

 Settlement

 Pr ogramme

 (UN

 Habitat) United

 Nations

 Industrial

 Development

 Organization

 (UNIDO) United

 Nations

 Office

 on

 Drugs

 and

 Crime

 (UNODC)

 United

 Nations

 Statistics

 Division

 (UNSD)

 United

 Nations

 W orld

 T ourism

 Organization

 (UNWTO) Universal

 Postal

 Union

 (UPU)

 W orld

 Bank

 Gr oup

 (WBG)

 W orld

 T rade

 Organization

 (WTO)

 1

  The

 Committee

 for

 the

 Coor dination

 of

 Statistical

 Activities

 (CCSA)

 The

 CCSA

 is

 comprised

 of

 international

 and

 supranational

 organizations

 whose

 mandates

 include

 the

 pr ovision

 of

 international

 of ficial statistics

 guided

 by

 the

 Principles

 Gover ning

 International

 Statistical

 Activities

 ( https://unstats.un.org/unsd/ccsa/principles_stat_ac - tivities/)

 and

 which

 have

 a

 permanent

 embedded

 statistical

 service

 that

 maintains

 regular

 contact with

 countries.

 The

 mandate

 of

 the CCSA

 is

 to

 ensur e

 the

 ef ficient

 functioning

 of

 the

 international

 statistical

 system,

 to

 assist

 Gover nments

 in

 the

 development

 of

 common statistical

 standar ds,

 platforms

 and

 methodologies,

 and

 to

 pr ovide

 inter -institutional

 support,

 outr each

 and

 advocacy

 for

 high-quality of ficial

 statistics.

  Mor e

 information

 can

 be

 found

 on

 the

 CCSA

 webpage:

 https://unstats.un.org/unsd/ccsa/

  2

 Intr oduction

 W e

 are

 pleased

 to

 pr esent

 the

 thir d

 volume

 of

 “How COVID-19

 is

 changing

 the

 world:

 a

 statistical

 perspective”.

  Since

 the

 r elease

 of

 the

 first

 volume

 in

 May

 2020,

 the

 COVID-19

 pandemic

 has

 continued

 to

 rage

 ar ound

 the

 world.

 By

 mid-Mar ch, 2021,

 countries

 ar ound

 the

 globe

 had

 r eported

 over

 123

 million

 cases—a

 nearly

 five-fold

 incr ease

 since

 this

 r eport’ s

 pr evious volume—and

 over

 2.7 million

 deaths

 attributed

 to

 the

 disease.

 And

 while

 new

 case

 loads

 are

 curr ently

 on

 the

 rise

 again,

 the

 global health

 community

 has

 alr eady

 administer ed

 almost

 400

 million

 doses

 of

 vaccines,

 at

 last

 of fering

 some

 signs

 of

 hope

 and

 pr ogr ess.

 Nonetheless,

 the

 pandemic

 continues

 to

 pr esent

 daunting

 challenges

 for

 gover nments

 and

 international

 organizations.

 Economic impacts

 thr eaten

 to

 undo

 decades

 of

 r ecent

 pr ogr ess

 in

 poverty

 r eduction,

 child

 nutrition

 and

 gender

 equality , and

 exacerbate

 ef - forts

 to

 support

 refugees,

 migrants,

 and

 other

 vulnerable

 communities.

 National

 and

 local

 gover nments—together

 with

 inter nation - al

 and

 private-sector

 partners—must

 deploy

 vaccines

 as

 ef ficiently , safely

 and

 equitably

 as

 possible

 while

 still

 monitoring

 for

 new outbr eaks

 and

 continuing

 policies

 to

 pr otect those

 who

 do not

 yet

 have

 immunity . Economic

 recovery

 ef forts

 are

 also

 incr easingly urgent

 as

 the

 world

 begins

 to

 pivot

 to

 a

 “post-pandemic” r eality . It

 is

 becoming

 incr easingly

 clear

 that

 choices

 made

 over

 the

 next months

 and

 years

 could

 have

 impacts

 for

 generations

 to

 come.

 Mor e

 than

 ever , the

 world

 needs

 r eliable

 and

 trustworthy

 data

 and

 statistics

 to

 inform

 these

 important

 decisions.

 The

 United

 Na - tions

 and

 all

 member

 organizations

 of

 the

 Committee

 for

 the

 Coor dination

 of

 Statistical

 Activities

 (CCSA)

 collect

 and

 make

 available a

 wealth

 of

 information

 for

 assessing

 the

 multifaceted

 impacts

 of

 the

 pandemic.

 This

 r eport

 updates

 some

 of

 the

 global

 and

 r egion - al

 tr ends

 pr esented

 in

 the

 first

 and

 second

 volumes

 and

 of fers

 a

 snapshot

 of

 how

 COVID-19

 continues

 to

 af fect

 the

 world

 today across

 multiple

 domains.

 The

 r eport

 also

 highlights

 the

 impact

 of

 the

 pandemic

 on

 specific

 r egions

 and

 population

 gr oups.

 It

 has

 now

 been

 over

 a

 year

 since

 the

 pandemic

 began,

 and

 statistics

 are

 becoming

 available

 that

 quantify

 the

 year -on-year

 im - pacts

 of

 this

 terrible

 crisis

 and

 begin

 to

 hint

 at

 what

 a

 recovery

 and

 “post-COVID”

 world

 might

 look

 like.

 Some

 key

 findings

 include:

 • 8.8 percent

 of

 global

 working

 hours

 wer e

 lost

 in

 2020,

 equivalent

 to

 255

 million

 full-time

 jobs,

 an

 amount

 that

 is four

 times

 gr eater

 than

 the

 job

 losses

 during

 the

 2009

 financial

 crisis.

 • COVID-19

 is

 estimated

 to

 have

 pushed

 119-124 million

 people

 into

 poverty

 in

 2020,

 a

 substantial

 incr ease

 fr om earlier

 estimates.

 • Aviation

 passenger

 traffic

 declined

 by

 60

 percent

 in

 2020,

 while

 shipping

 activity—as

 measur ed

 by

 vessel

 port calls—likely

 declined

 by

 ar ound

 10

 per cent.

 • The

 Human

 Development

 Index

 r ecor ded

 its

 first

 dr op since

 1990

 due

 to

 the

 pandemic,

 which

 has

 erased

 de - cades

 of

 pr ogr ess

 in

 the

 female

 labour

 participation

 rate.

 • International

 tourism

 r ecor ded

 its

 worst year

 ever

 on

 r ecor d;

 international

 tourism

 declined

 by

 74

 per cent.

  • CO 2

  emissions

 declined

 6

 percent

 in

 2020

 largely

 attributable

 to

 r educed

 activity

 in

 aviation

 and

 transport.

 As countries

 undertake

 recovery

 ef forts,

 many

 are

 including

 gr een

 and

 sustainable

 targets

 in

 their

 planning.

  National

 statistical

 systems

 continue

 to

 r eport

 daunting

 challenges

 to

 the

 collection

 of

 essential

 data

 and

 production

 of

 basic

 sta - tistics.

 While

 many

 organizations

 have

 adapted

 their

 methods

 to

 some

 degr ee,

 the

 pandemic

 has

 underscored

 the

 need

 to

 pr ovide sufficient

 r esour ces,

 moder nize

 operations,

 and

 upgrade

 critical

 infrastructur e

 to

 pr ovide

 flexibility , particularly

 in

 times

 of

 crisis.

 Many

 mor e

 insights

 are

 pr ovided

 in

 the

 individual

 sections

 of

 this

 publication.

 As

 we

 work to

 continue

 pr oviding

 useful

 statistical perspectives

 on

 the

 pandemic,

 we

 also

 continue

 our

 br oader

 ef forts

 to

 make

 the

 data

 itself

 mor e

 accessible

 and

 useful.

 This volume

 is

 the

 first

 in

 the

 series

 to

 pr ovide

 the

 underlying

 r eport

 data

 in

 free

 and

 open

 formats.

 Wher e

 available,

 these

 r esour ces

 are indicated

 with

 an

 icon

 and

 website

 link

 at

 the

 end

 of

 their

 r espective

 chapters.

 Some

 sections

 also

 pr ovide

 source

 code.

 Lastly , we

 would

 like

 to

 again

 give

 special

 thanks

 to

 the

 CCSA

 secr etariat

 (Statistics

 Division

 of

 UN

 DESA)

 and

 to

 the

 team

 at

 the W orld

 Bank

 for

 its

 ef forts

 to

 edit

 this

 collection

 of

 statistical

 information

 and

 curate

 the

 underlying

 data.

 W ithout

 their

 commitment and

 dedication,

 this

 r eport

 would

 not

 have

 been

 possible.

  Angela

 Me

 Chief,

 Resear ch

 and

 T r end

 Analysis

 Branch UNODC

 Co-chair

 CCSA

 Haishan

 Fu

 Dir ector , Development

 Data

 Gr oup W orld

 Bank

 Co-chair

 CCSA

 #StatisticalCoor dination

  3

 T able

 of Contents

 4

  A time for international collaboration and co-investment (WBG + UNSD)

 ........................................... 8 Global credit turns toward domestic borrowers (BIS)

 ...................................................................... 14 Increase of the pandemic emergency purchase programme (ECB)

 .................................................... 16 2020 passenger totals drop 60 percent as COVID-19 assault on air travel continues (ICAO)

 ................. 18 Labour markets disrupted on a historically unprecedented scale (ILO)

 ............................................... 20 COVID-19 impacts at the local levels (UN Habitat)

 .......................................................................... 22 Maritime tr affic

 in times of pandemic (UNCTAD)

 ................................................................................................................ 24 Global manufacturing production has stabilized, but with industrialized economies are experiencing a delayed recovery (UNIDO)

 ................................................................ 26 2020: the worst year on record for tourism (UNWTO)

 .................................................................................................... 28 Disruption of the international postal supply chain (UPU)

 ................................................................. 30 COVID-19 estimated to have pushed 119-124 million people into extreme poverty in 2020 (WBG)

 ........ 32 World trade developments Q1-Q3 2020 (WTO)

 ....................................................................................................

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